Thursday, December 29, 2011

When all roads lead to Rome: War and Sanctions

The U.S. has ruled out military strikes to stop Iran's nuclear program, favoring economic sanctions, which Iran has declared an act or war if implemented. Iran has recently promised to blockade the Strait of Hormuz, an important passage for oil tankers in the middle east.
This puts the U.S. in a back position. If they do anything to block Iran's path, Iran will pull the U.S. into an even more expensive war in the middle east. While the Iranian economic situation is fragile, the U.S. situation is not healthy either and can be worsened by fluctuating oil prices. What Iran and the U.S. have entered into is similar to the situation the U.S.S.R. and the U.S. created during the cold war. I am referring to the MAD plan.
If the United States issues sanctions, Iran will declare war, oil will stop flowing through the Hormuz for a while and oil prices will create havoc around the world. No body wins if the U.S. and Iran goes to war and by extention, no body wins if the U.S. issues new economic sanctions against Iran.
There for, it is wrong for the U.S. to use sanctions to meet its end goal of an Iran without nuclear weapons, nuclear break out capabilities or a civilian nuclear program.
That is all for today, thanks for reading.

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